Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 191.961700 223.362333 259.670119 305.082639 360.819881 427.590890 514.532234
2025-08-03 152.135658 191.744906 242.469827 313.443265 412.236160 548.088923 754.910451
2025-08-10 128.133004 170.145628 227.732316 314.792387 447.447208 649.785668 998.486309
2025-08-17 112.987008 156.323928 219.035273 320.054079 486.201858 763.705212 1299.472482
2025-08-24 99.970883 142.894471 207.767567 317.848958 510.920696 859.806820 1606.193139
2025-08-31 90.297983 132.773982 199.466423 318.022343 538.539494 967.618828 1982.286632
2025-09-07 82.994691 125.193017 193.790266 321.097788 571.414055 1094.728544 2463.648167
2025-09-14 73.973948 113.682565 179.898650 306.790371 567.010324 1142.166716 2773.515998
2025-09-21 68.605080 107.563142 174.343718 306.892354 591.749180 1262.505865 3354.800906
2025-09-28 64.384345 102.890367 170.665889 309.863090 623.188457 1409.768506 4120.580397
2025-10-05 63.178133 103.291789 176.181974 332.258343 704.412158 1718.267812 5708.763331
2025-10-12 61.590674 102.800122 179.892145 351.474323 783.520589 2058.080965 7804.912338
2025-10-19 57.745317 98.212173 175.960102 355.332090 830.916047 2347.012586 10203.365034
2025-10-26 54.804404 95.078348 174.677728 365.566545 901.197520 2765.176394 14171.989855
2025-11-02 51.432313 90.711847 170.206611 367.202221 947.706625 3131.748230 18767.641377
2025-11-09 48.818316 87.544359 167.824018 373.578454 1011.724653 3622.785095 25985.714950
2025-11-16 45.799209 83.239365 162.381179 370.905633 1045.868302 4013.803205 33950.531268
2025-11-23 43.293746 79.740092 158.293679 371.115760 1090.770385 4503.932352 45832.647771
2025-11-30 41.256761 77.019836 155.641862 374.843841 1150.732181 5142.389493 64794.962444
2025-12-07 38.120874 71.686215 146.273762 357.515051 1124.403306 5255.898234 75322.994068
2025-12-14 36.293331 69.023775 142.980010 357.638436 1168.813637 5877.201702 105079.586778
2025-12-21 34.808349 66.978244 140.942103 361.233458 1230.070363 6702.809230 155941.512610
2025-12-28 34.617901 67.780412 146.034470 388.387108 1409.460949 8741.508796 327405.069720